Detail publikačního výsledku

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

BARTOŠÍK, T.; RADIL, L.; MASTNÝ, P.

Originální název

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Anglický název

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Druh

Stať ve sborníku v databázi WoS či Scopus

Originální abstrakt

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Anglický abstrakt

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Klíčová slova

wind power prediction, wind power plants simulation, numerical prediction methods, Autoregressive model, Markov chain, Moving average model

Klíčová slova v angličtině

wind power prediction, wind power plants simulation, numerical prediction methods, Autoregressive model, Markov chain, Moving average model

Autoři

BARTOŠÍK, T.; RADIL, L.; MASTNÝ, P.

Rok RIV

2014

Vydáno

20.05.2013

Nakladatel

VSB – Technical University of Ostrava

Místo

Ostrava

ISBN

978-80-248-2988-3

Kniha

Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013

Strany od

759

Strany do

762

Strany počet

4

BibTex

@inproceedings{BUT99974,
  author="Tomáš {Bartošík} and Lukáš {Radil} and Petr {Mastný}",
  title="Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction",
  booktitle="Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013",
  year="2013",
  pages="759--762",
  publisher="VSB – Technical University of Ostrava",
  address="Ostrava",
  isbn="978-80-248-2988-3"
}