The Prediction Model in Archaeology

The Prediction Model in Archaeology

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The Prediction Model in Archaeology is the topic of this paper. Current predictive models are based either on classical methods of applied mathematics (time series analysis, statistics) or on the principles of artificial intelligence (artificial neural networks, genetic algorithms). In many cases, however, there is a lack of predictive models. It is primarily a prediction of spatially coupled problems solved with the aid of GIS. Therefore the special interactive prediction model for usage of ex-post (interpolation) and ex-ante (extrapolation) prediction methods was designed. The multi-criteria approach to the input parameters is applied in the model. There is a multidisciplinary approach in the predictive model, because partial results are reviewed by experts in the field of archeology, geodesy and computer science. The model is designed for the use in GIS and is based on interactive data entry confrontation with the output spatial objects or phenomena. The goal is to obtain maximum yield of information from the given input data. The proposed model was tested in the field of archeology in search of abandoned medieval villages in the surroundings of the Veveří castle.

The Prediction Model in Archaeology is the topic of this paper. Current predictive models are based either on classical methods of applied mathematics (time series analysis, statistics) or on the principles of artificial intelligence (artificial neural networks, genetic algorithms). In many cases, however, there is a lack of predictive models. It is primarily a prediction of spatially coupled problems solved with the aid of GIS. Therefore the special interactive prediction model for usage of ex-post (interpolation) and ex-ante (extrapolation) prediction methods was designed. The multi-criteria approach to the input parameters is applied in the model. There is a multidisciplinary approach in the predictive model, because partial results are reviewed by experts in the field of archeology, geodesy and computer science. The model is designed for the use in GIS and is based on interactive data entry confrontation with the output spatial objects or phenomena. The goal is to obtain maximum yield of information from the given input data. The proposed model was tested in the field of archeology in search of abandoned medieval villages in the surroundings of the Veveří castle.

Prediction, GIS, spatial modeling, archaeology

Prediction, GIS, spatial modeling, archaeology

BARTONĚK, D.; DERMEKOVÁ, S.; OPATŘILOVÁ, I.

2012

14.11.2011

Museen der Stadt Wien – Stadtarchäologie

Vídeň

978-3-200-02740-4

Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Cultural Heritage and New Technologies

339

347

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