Publication result detail

Investigating the Causes of Non-realization of Project Prediction and Proposal of a New Prediction Framework

DOSKOČIL, R.; LACKO, B.

Original Title

Investigating the Causes of Non-realization of Project Prediction and Proposal of a New Prediction Framework

English Title

Investigating the Causes of Non-realization of Project Prediction and Proposal of a New Prediction Framework

Type

WoS Article

Original Abstract

The main goal of the paper is to identify the causes of non-realization of project prediction and to propose a new framework for project prediction. A secondary goal is to explain why the approaches to project prediction used currently do not provide satisfactory results. The research was realised in the form of qualitative research using semi-structured interviews. The findings reveal that the main causes of non-realization of project prediction are follows: there is no methodology that could be practically used; simplified approaches to project prediction usually have low reliability for which reason they are generally unusable; suitable input data and information for project prediction are not available. The main contribution made by the paper is the identification of causes of non-realization of project prediction and the proposal of a new framework for project prediction that respects changing conditions during the lifecycle of the project and changes in the way of thinking in project prediction. A prerequisite for its application is a functioning system of knowledge management in projects, including the realization of post-project analysis.

English abstract

The main goal of the paper is to identify the causes of non-realization of project prediction and to propose a new framework for project prediction. A secondary goal is to explain why the approaches to project prediction used currently do not provide satisfactory results. The research was realised in the form of qualitative research using semi-structured interviews. The findings reveal that the main causes of non-realization of project prediction are follows: there is no methodology that could be practically used; simplified approaches to project prediction usually have low reliability for which reason they are generally unusable; suitable input data and information for project prediction are not available. The main contribution made by the paper is the identification of causes of non-realization of project prediction and the proposal of a new framework for project prediction that respects changing conditions during the lifecycle of the project and changes in the way of thinking in project prediction. A prerequisite for its application is a functioning system of knowledge management in projects, including the realization of post-project analysis.

Keywords

Project management; Knowledge management; Project prediction; Finite automata; Markov chains.

Key words in English

Project management; Knowledge management; Project prediction; Finite automata; Markov chains.

Authors

DOSKOČIL, R.; LACKO, B.

RIV year

2025

Released

22.08.2024

Publisher

Prague University of Economics and Business

Location

Prague, Czech Republic

ISBN

1805-4951

Periodical

Acta Informatica Pragensia

Volume

13

Number

3

State

Czech Republic

Pages from

418

Pages to

432

Pages count

15

URL

https://aip.vse.cz/pdfs/aip/2024/03/05.pdf

Full text in the Digital Library

http://hdl.handle.net/11012/250202

BibTex

@article{BUT189510,
  author="Radek {Doskočil} and Branislav {Lacko}",
  title="Investigating the Causes of Non-realization of Project Prediction and Proposal of a New Prediction Framework",
  journal="Acta Informatica Pragensia",
  year="2024",
  volume="13",
  number="3",
  pages="418--432",
  doi="10.18267/j.aip.250",
  url="https://aip.vse.cz/pdfs/aip/2024/03/05.pdf"
}

Documents

AIP_aip-202403-0005