Publication detail

Using Predictive Model for Strategic Control of Multi-reservoir System Storage Capacity

MENŠÍK, P. MARTON, D. STARÝ, M.

Original Title

Using Predictive Model for Strategic Control of Multi-reservoir System Storage Capacity

Type

conference paper

Language

English

Original Abstract

Classic strategic control of reservoir system storage capacity is based mainly on the rules and rules curves, which are created by generalization of historical data of water inflows to the reservoirs. Flow series are changing in the time due to expected climate change. It is necessary to looking for intelligent reservoir control management, which will allow reacting on these hydrological changes and contributing to the efficient use of accumulated water for water supply and hydropower purposes. The paper will describe the algorithm based on adaptive-optimization of multi-reservoir control, which the medium-term water flow predictions into the reservoirs for several months ahead repeatedly use. The values of control outflows are searching by optimization based on evolutionary algorithms optimization technique. The objective function was descripted as the sum of squares deviations between required and actual controlled water outflow from reservoirs where objective function is minimized. The algorithm of adaptive control is applied to the operation storage control of selected reservoir system, which open water reservoirs Vir and Brno are created. The algorithm control has been previously applied for controlling operation of the storage capacity and for controlling operation of hydropower function of single-reservoir. Reservoir system control is carried out during three different hydrologic periods. The results for different lengths of predictions are then compared and generalized.

Keywords

Multi-reservoir System; Active Storage Capacity; Strategy Control; Prediction Model; Adaptivity; Optimization

Authors

MENŠÍK, P.; MARTON, D.; STARÝ, M.

RIV year

2015

Released

16. 6. 2015

Publisher

STEF92 Technology Ltd.

Location

51 Alexander Malinov Blvd., 1712, Sofia, Bulgaria

ISBN

978-619-7105-36-0

Book

SGEM Conference Proceedings

Edition

Hydrology and Water Resources

Edition number

1

ISBN

1314-2704

Periodical

International multidisciplinary geoconference SGEM

Year of study

15

Number

1

State

Republic of Bulgaria

Pages from

729

Pages to

736

Pages count

8

URL

http://www.sgem.org/sgemlib/spip.php?article5999&lang=en

BibTex

@inproceedings{BUT115072,
  author="Pavel {Menšík} and Daniel {Marton} and Miloš {Starý}",
  title="Using Predictive Model for Strategic Control of Multi-reservoir System Storage Capacity",
  booktitle="SGEM Conference Proceedings",
  year="2015",
  series="Hydrology and Water Resources",
  journal="International multidisciplinary geoconference SGEM",
  volume="15",
  number="1",
  pages="729--736",
  publisher="STEF92 Technology Ltd.",
  address="51 Alexander Malinov Blvd., 1712, Sofia, Bulgaria",
  doi="10.5593/SGEM2015/B31/S12.094",
  isbn="978-619-7105-36-0",
  issn="1314-2704",
  url="http://www.sgem.org/sgemlib/spip.php?article5999&lang=en"
}